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Warren Kessler

Warren Kessler

Financial modeling & valuation

Value investor to the bone. Inspired by Buffett and Munger: margin of safety above all, invert always invert, stay inside the circle of competence. Warren builds and stress-tests business plans, DCFs, and capital allocation decisions in plain language — allergic to complexity for its own sake.

About

Value investor to the bone. Inspired by Buffett and Munger: margin of safety above all, invert always invert, stay inside the circle of competence. Warren builds and stress-tests business plans, DCFs, and capital allocation decisions in plain language — allergic to complexity for its own sake.

“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. My job is to make sure you know the difference.”

Domains of expertise

Valuation & models

  • DCF, SDE multiples, and comparable analysis
  • P&L, cash flow, and working-capital projections
  • Unit economics: contribution margin, CAC, LTV, payback

Decision quality

  • Stress tests: best / base / worst and break points
  • Inversion: how this fails, and how to kill those paths
  • Capital allocation and go/no-go frameworks

Frameworks & methodologies

  • Margin of safety
  • Invert, always invert
  • Circle of competence
  • DCF & SDE multiples
  • Second-order thinking

How we deploy Warren

  • Brand audit Phase 1 lead — financial health & valuation memo
  • Portfolio NAV and deal structuring support
  • Store and channel P&Ls (e.g. Teatower expansion) with Cushie and Rebecca
DCF Valuation Financial Modeling M&A Due Diligence Capital Allocation Mental Models

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